Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.921484e-05 0.000106 0.000124 0.000145 0.000167 0.000191 0.000219
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.540617e-05 0.000087 0.000112 0.000142 0.000176 0.000215 0.000261
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.283861e-05 0.000076 0.000104 0.000139 0.000181 0.000230 0.000288
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.217170e-05 0.000067 0.000097 0.000137 0.000187 0.000245 0.000317
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.578566e-05 0.000061 0.000094 0.000138 0.000194 0.000261 0.000345
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.034296e-05 0.000056 0.000091 0.000139 0.000201 0.000278 0.000375
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.556088e-05 0.000051 0.000087 0.000138 0.000206 0.000290 0.000399
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.033423e-05 0.000044 0.000081 0.000134 0.000206 0.000296 0.000416
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.841434e-05 0.000043 0.000081 0.000138 0.000216 0.000316 0.000449
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.438463e-05 0.000037 0.000075 0.000133 0.000214 0.000320 0.000462
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.235406e-05 0.000035 0.000073 0.000134 0.000220 0.000333 0.000487
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.004184e-05 0.000032 0.000070 0.000132 0.000222 0.000342 0.000505
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.861081e-06 0.000030 0.000070 0.000136 0.000233 0.000363 0.000542
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.053412e-06 0.000028 0.000067 0.000135 0.000237 0.000376 0.000568
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.217627e-06 0.000024 0.000063 0.000131 0.000237 0.000381 0.000585
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.050203e-06 0.000022 0.000060 0.000130 0.000241 0.000393 0.000609
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.123649e-06 0.000020 0.000058 0.000130 0.000244 0.000405 0.000633
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.540686e-06 0.000019 0.000057 0.000132 0.000252 0.000422 0.000665
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.849780e-06 0.000017 0.000055 0.000130 0.000254 0.000431 0.000686
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.196102e-06 0.000014 0.000051 0.000127 0.000253 0.000435 0.000701
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.004461e-06 0.000014 0.000052 0.000130 0.000263 0.000456 0.000738
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 5.646852e-07 0.000012 0.000048 0.000126 0.000260 0.000457 0.000748
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.848269e-07 0.000011 0.000047 0.000126 0.000265 0.000470 0.000775